Real Madrid vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
13.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
GLA
2 - 1
RMA
8%
18%
75%
|
93 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
RMA
1 - 1
RAY
86%
10%
4%
|
93 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2021 |
RMA
3 - 1
FUE
90%
8%
2%
|
93 | 71 | 22 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2021 |
RMA
2 - 1
VIL
60%
21%
19%
|
93 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
ATH
0 - 1
RMA
19%
23%
58%
|
93 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2021 |
VCF
0 - 0
ACM
33%
26%
41%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
NIC
1 - 1
ACM
13%
22%
66%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
ACM
5 - 0
MOD
85%
12%
4%
|
89 | 54 | 35 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
ATL
0 - 2
ACM
59%
21%
21%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
ACM
0 - 0
CAG
75%
16%
8%
|
89 | 76 | 13 | 0 |