Real Madrid vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.4%
Win probability
2.95
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.3%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.9%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.5%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.5%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
11.1%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.1%
5.5%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2017 |
JUV
1 - 4
RMA
27%
22%
51%
|
94 | 93 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
MAL
0 - 2
RMA
9%
15%
75%
|
94 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2017 |
CEL
1 - 4
RMA
9%
15%
76%
|
94 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
RMA
4 - 1
SEV
82%
12%
6%
|
94 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2017 |
ATM
2 - 1
RMA
30%
24%
46%
|
94 | 93 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2017 |
MUD
2 - 0
MAC
35%
26%
39%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2017 |
RSL
1 - 2
MUD
13%
22%
65%
|
89 | 70 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2017 |
GAL
2 - 5
MUD
24%
25%
51%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2017 |
AJA
0 - 2
MUD
39%
25%
36%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
MUD
2 - 0
CRY
60%
23%
17%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |