Real Madrid vs Málaga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.1%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.1%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.5%
7.4%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2003 |
JUV
3 - 1
RMA
39%
25%
37%
|
93 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2003 |
REC
0 - 0
RMA
13%
21%
66%
|
93 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2003 |
RMA
2 - 1
JUV
70%
18%
13%
|
93 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2003 |
RMA
1 - 5
MLL
79%
14%
8%
|
93 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
SEV
1 - 3
RMA
21%
23%
56%
|
93 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2003 |
MAL
0 - 2
DEP
30%
26%
44%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2003 |
VIL
0 - 0
MAL
41%
27%
32%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
MAL
2 - 2
RAC
55%
24%
21%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2003 |
ALA
0 - 1
MAL
44%
27%
29%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2003 |
MAL
1 - 0
VAD
54%
25%
21%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |