Champions League . Semi-finals
Global 3-4
Real Madrid vs Juventus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.9%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
12.5%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2003 |
RMA
1 - 5
MLL
79%
14%
8%
|
93 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
SEV
1 - 3
RMA
21%
23%
56%
|
93 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2003 |
MUD
4 - 3
RMA
51%
23%
26%
|
93 | 93 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
RMA
1 - 1
FCB
69%
18%
14%
|
93 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2003 |
RSO
4 - 2
RMA
27%
24%
49%
|
93 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2003 |
LAZ
0 - 0
JUV
45%
25%
30%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
JUV
2 - 1
BRE
73%
18%
10%
|
91 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2003 |
FCB
1 - 2
JUV
60%
21%
19%
|
91 | 91 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
JUV
2 - 1
ROM
55%
23%
22%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2003 |
BOL
2 - 2
JUV
30%
27%
44%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |