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UCL. Group D, Matchday 4

Real Madrid vs Shakhtar Donetsk analysis

Real Madrid Shakhtar Donetsk
93 ELO 67
-10% Tilt 27%
General ELO ranking 343º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
77.1%
Real Madrid
14.7%
Draw
8.2%
Shakhtar Donetsk

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.1%
Win probability
Real Madrid
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.3%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.7%
8.2%
Win probability
Shakhtar Donetsk
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

Points and table prediction

Real Madrid
Their league position
Shakhtar Donetsk
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
1
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Real Madrid
6
13
98%
Sheriff
6
11
60%
Inter
4
8
57%
Shakhtar Donetsk
1
1
95%
Expected probabilities
Real Madrid
Shakhtar Donetsk
Next phase
100% 0%
Eliminatorias Europa League
0% 5%
Mid-table
0% 95%

ELO progression

Real Madrid
RMA
Shakhtar Donetsk
SHA
Rayo Vallecano
RAY
Kolos Kovalivka
KOL
Desna Chernihiv
DES
Rukh Lviv
RYV
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Real Madrid
Real Madrid
1%
X%
2%
ELO RMA ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Oct. 2021
FCB
Barcelona
1 - 2
Real Madrid
RMA
52%
26%
22%
3426 3495 69 0
19 Oct. 2021
SHA
Shakhtar Donetsk
0 - 5
Real Madrid
RMA
16%
20%
64%
3416 1756 -1660 +12
03 Oct. 2021
ESP
Espanyol
2 - 1
Real Madrid
RMA
16%
20%
64%
3433 1802 -1631 -22
28 Sep. 2021
RMA
Real Madrid
1 - 2
Sheriff
SHF
80%
12%
8%
3482 1369 2113 -46
25 Sep. 2021
RMA
Real Madrid
0 - 0
Villarreal
VIL
73%
18%
10%
3487 2652 835 -8

Matches

Shakhtar Donetsk
Shakhtar Donetsk
1%
X%
2%
ELO SHA ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Oct. 2021
VOR
Vorskla Poltava
0 - 2
Shakhtar Donetsk
SHA
30%
27%
44%
1744 893 -851 +4
19 Oct. 2021
SHA
Shakhtar Donetsk
0 - 5
Real Madrid
RMA
16%
20%
64%
1754 3413 -1659 -7
15 Oct. 2021
SHA
Shakhtar Donetsk
6 - 1
Zorya Luhansk
ZOR
58%
24%
19%
1745 1392 353 +7
03 Oct. 2021
DYN
Dinamo Kiev
0 - 0
Shakhtar Donetsk
SHA
53%
25%
22%
1744 1872 128 +1
28 Sep. 2021
SHA
Shakhtar Donetsk
0 - 0
Inter
INT
16%
20%
64%
1725 3226 -1501 +21