Real Madrid vs Espanyol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.6%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.6%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
14%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14%
8.4%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 1978 |
ATM
2 - 2
RMA
49%
23%
28%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1978 |
RMA
3 - 2
SPO
77%
15%
8%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1978 |
CEL
2 - 2
RMA
16%
24%
60%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1978 |
GCZ
2 - 0
RMA
37%
25%
38%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 1978 |
RMA
4 - 0
REC
86%
10%
4%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 1978 |
ESP
3 - 1
AND
92%
6%
2%
|
79 | 40 | 39 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1978 |
ESP
2 - 1
SLA
65%
21%
15%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1978 |
VCF
2 - 1
ESP
62%
21%
17%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1978 |
ESP
2 - 3
RAC
68%
19%
13%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1978 |
SEV
4 - 3
ESP
48%
25%
27%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | -1 |