Champions League Eliminatorias. Last 16
Global 5-2
Real Madrid vs CSKA Moskva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
92%
Win probability
3.63
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.6%
8-0
1.2%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.5%
7-0
2.7%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
3.4%
6-0
5.3%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
6.7%
5-0
8.7%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
11.5%
4-0
12%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
<0%
+4
16.7%
3-0
13.2%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.9%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
6%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.8%
5.9%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
2.8%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
5.9%
2%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
1.6%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
BET
2 - 3
RMA
8%
18%
74%
|
97 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
RMA
5 - 0
ESP
94%
5%
1%
|
97 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
RAY
0 - 1
RMA
8%
17%
76%
|
97 | 80 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2012 |
CSK
1 - 1
RMA
11%
19%
70%
|
97 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
RMA
4 - 0
RAC
94%
5%
2%
|
97 | 82 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
CSKA Moskva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2012 |
CSK
1 - 1
DIN
55%
23%
21%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
CSK
2 - 2
ZEN
45%
24%
31%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2012 |
CSK
1 - 1
RMA
11%
19%
70%
|
85 | 97 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2012 |
MUR
2 - 0
CSK
25%
25%
49%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2011 |
INT
1 - 2
CSK
67%
19%
15%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |