Real Madrid vs CD Málaga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
91.3%
Win probability
3.43
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
1%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.2%
7-0
2.3%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.8%
6-0
4.8%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5.9%
5-0
8.4%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
10.6%
4-0
12.2%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
16.2%
3-0
14.3%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
20.3%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14%
6.5%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
3.1%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
6.5%
2.1%
Win probability
0.42
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
1.7%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 1989 |
FCB
3 - 1
RMA
40%
26%
35%
|
92 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1989 |
RMA
4 - 1
CAD
91%
7%
2%
|
91 | 76 | 15 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 1989 |
RMA
6 - 0
SPO
98%
2%
0%
|
91 | 61 | 30 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1989 |
MLL
0 - 0
RMA
11%
22%
67%
|
91 | 74 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1989 |
RMA
6 - 2
VCF
89%
8%
3%
|
91 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
CD Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1989 |
CAD
0 - 2
MAL
55%
25%
20%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1989 |
XER
1 - 1
MAL
41%
26%
34%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1989 |
MAL
1 - 1
VCF
46%
28%
26%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 1989 |
SPO
0 - 1
MAL
63%
22%
15%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1989 |
MAL
2 - 0
ALZ
79%
14%
7%
|
73 | 53 | 20 | 0 |