Real Madrid vs Benfica analysis
Play responsibly. 18+
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.7%
Win probability
3.19
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
6.2%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.9%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
2.5%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
16%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.9%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.3%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
13.1%
11.1%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 1957 |
RMA
5 - 1
ACM
78%
12%
10%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1957 |
RMA
2 - 0
FIO
86%
9%
5%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 May. 1957 |
FCB
6 - 1
RMA
64%
18%
19%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 May. 1957 |
RMA
2 - 2
FCB
66%
18%
16%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1957 |
RMA
1 - 0
UDL
89%
8%
4%
|
89 | 70 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 1957 |
SLB
1 - 0
ASS
81%
11%
8%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1957 |
SLB
3 - 1
SPC
86%
9%
5%
|
87 | 67 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1957 |
SLB
4 - 0
FCB
87%
9%
4%
|
87 | 61 | 26 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1957 |
FCB
0 - 1
SLB
18%
19%
63%
|
87 | 61 | 26 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1957 |
SLB
4 - 0
TOR
84%
10%
6%
|
87 | 66 | 21 | 0 |