Real Madrid vs Barcelona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.1%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
33.9%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2021 |
RMA
3 - 1
LIV
50%
22%
28%
|
93 | 92 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
RMA
2 - 0
EIB
80%
13%
7%
|
93 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
CEL
1 - 3
RMA
13%
20%
66%
|
93 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2021 |
RMA
3 - 1
ATL
65%
19%
17%
|
93 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
RMA
2 - 1
ELC
87%
10%
4%
|
93 | 76 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2021 |
FCB
1 - 0
VAD
88%
9%
3%
|
94 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
RSO
1 - 6
FCB
24%
23%
54%
|
94 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2021 |
FCB
4 - 1
HUE
88%
9%
3%
|
93 | 78 | 15 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2021 |
PSG
1 - 1
FCB
31%
23%
46%
|
93 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
OSA
0 - 2
FCB
11%
18%
72%
|
93 | 84 | 9 | 0 |