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La Liga. Matchday 30

Real Madrid Barcelona
93 ELO 96
-6% Tilt 16%
General ELO ranking
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
39.6%
Real Madrid
26.8%
Draw
33.6%
Barcelona

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.6%
Win probability
Real Madrid
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
33.6%
Win probability
Barcelona
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Real Madrid
-14%
+5%
Barcelona

Basic stats

31
69
POS
14
16
SOT
5
6
COR
2
1
GF
1
2
GC
15
25
FRK
93
96
ELO
1.3
1.2
EXP
Key
POS
Ball possession
SOT
Total shots
COR
Corners
GF
Goals for
GC
Goals against
FRK
Fouls received
ELO
Team's ELO rating
EXP
Expected goals for the team

Points and table prediction

Real Madrid
Their league position
Barcelona
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
69
65
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Real Madrid
69
81
29%
Atlético
67
81
30%
Barcelona
65
83
26%
Sevilla
64
74
81%
Real Betis
48
57
33%
R. Sociedad
47
60
25%
Villarreal
46
55
28%
Granada
39
49
14%
Athletic
38
50
13%
Levante
10º
38
46
11º
13%
Celta
11º
37
47
10º
13%
Osasuna
12º
37
41
14º
15%
Cádiz
13º
35
42
13º
17%
Valencia
14º
34
44
12º
13%
Getafe
15º
30
36
15º
18%
Real Valladolid
16º
28
35
16º
16%
Huesca
17º
27
33
17º
16%
Elche
18º
27
33
19º
19%
Alavés
19º
27
33
18º
19%
Eibar
20º
23
29
20º
40%
Expected probabilities
Real Madrid
Barcelona
Champion
29% 50%
Champions League
71% 50%
Europa League
0% 0%
Europa Conference League
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Barcelona
FCB
Real Madrid
RMA
Liverpool
LIV
Athletic
ATH
Getafe
GET
Leeds United
LEE
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Real Madrid
Real Madrid
1%
X%
2%
ELO RMA ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Apr. 2021
RMA
Real Madrid
2 - 1
Barcelona
FCB
47%
27%
26%
3502 3673 -171 +12
06 Apr. 2021
RMA
Real Madrid
3 - 1
Liverpool
LIV
53%
25%
22%
3471 3514 -43 +37
03 Apr. 2021
RMA
Real Madrid
2 - 0
Eibar
EIB
82%
12%
6%
3462 2065 1397 +3
20 Mar. 2021
CEL
Celta
1 - 3
Real Madrid
RMA
24%
24%
51%
3455 2266 -1189 +7
16 Mar. 2021
RMA
Real Madrid
3 - 1
Atalanta
ATL
62%
22%
17%
3437 2919 518 +22

Matches

Barcelona
Barcelona
1%
X%
2%
ELO FCB ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Apr. 2021
RMA
Real Madrid
2 - 1
Barcelona
FCB
47%
27%
26%
3673 3502 -171 -12
05 Apr. 2021
FCB
Barcelona
1 - 0
Real Valladolid
VAD
84%
11%
5%
3672 1978 1694 +1
21 Mar. 2021
RSO
R. Sociedad
1 - 6
Barcelona
FCB
28%
26%
46%
3661 2625 -1036 +12
15 Mar. 2021
FCB
Barcelona
4 - 1
Huesca
HUE
80%
11%
9%
3659 1551 2108 +1
10 Mar. 2021
PSG
PSG
1 - 1
Barcelona
FCB
50%
26%
24%
3654 3692 38 +9