Real Madrid vs Barcelona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.5%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.6%
17.9%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 1945 |
ESP
1 - 1
RMA
43%
23%
34%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1945 |
RMA
3 - 1
OVI
71%
15%
14%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1945 |
SPO
1 - 1
RMA
42%
23%
34%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1945 |
RMA
3 - 1
MUR
81%
12%
8%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1945 |
SEV
2 - 1
RMA
56%
20%
24%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 1945 |
OVI
1 - 1
FCB
53%
20%
27%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1945 |
FCB
1 - 1
MUR
82%
11%
7%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 1945 |
VCF
0 - 1
FCB
65%
17%
18%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 1945 |
FCB
0 - 6
ATH
63%
18%
19%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 1945 |
ATM
2 - 0
FCB
52%
21%
28%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |