Copa del Rey Semi-finals
Global 1-1
Real Madrid vs Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.1%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.9%
9%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 1980 |
RMA
3 - 1
ATH
76%
15%
9%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1980 |
ATM
0 - 0
RMA
41%
26%
33%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1980 |
UDL
1 - 2
RMA
30%
27%
43%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1980 |
RMA
4 - 0
ATM
71%
17%
12%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1980 |
BET
1 - 1
RMA
31%
27%
43%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 1980 |
RSO
2 - 0
ATM
61%
22%
18%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1980 |
ATM
0 - 0
RMA
41%
26%
33%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1980 |
ATM
0 - 1
SLA
73%
18%
10%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1980 |
RMA
4 - 0
ATM
71%
17%
12%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1980 |
ATM
2 - 1
VAD
81%
12%
7%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |