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La Liga. Matchday 9

Real Madrid vs Athletic analysis

Real Madrid Athletic
94 ELO 81
-10% Tilt -18%
General ELO ranking 60º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
70.6%
Real Madrid
19.2%
Draw
10.2%
Athletic

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.6%
Win probability
Real Madrid
2.03
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.2%
10.2%
Win probability
Athletic
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Real Madrid
+38%
-37%
Athletic

Points and table prediction

Real Madrid
Their league position
Athletic
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
13
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
R. Sociedad
20
64
9%
Real Madrid
17
90
2%
Sevilla
17
68
7%
Atlético
17
69
7%
Osasuna
17
58
6%
Rayo Vallecano
16
61
6%
Barcelona
15
73
4%
Real Betis
15
61
6%
Athletic
13
49
11º
5%
Valencia
10º
12
63
5%
Espanyol
11º
12
44
12º
5%
Villarreal
12º
11
57
10º
5%
Mallorca
13º
11
43
13º
6%
Elche
14º
9
33
18º
6%
Celta
15º
7
41
14º
6%
Cádiz
16º
7
39
16º
7%
Granada
17º
6
41
15º
7%
Levante
18º
5
36
17º
6%
Alavés
19º
3
20
20º
11%
Getafe
20º
2
25
19º
10%
Expected probabilities
Real Madrid
Athletic
Champion
96% 2%
Champions League
3% 15%
Europa League
0% 5%
Europa Conference League
0% 5%
Mid-table
1% 58%
Relegation
0% 15%

ELO progression

Athletic
ATH
Real Madrid
RMA
Shakhtar Donetsk
SHA
Villarreal
VIL
Osasuna
OSA
Young Boys
YOB
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Real Madrid
Real Madrid
1%
X%
2%
ELO RMA ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Oct. 2021
ESP
Espanyol
2 - 1
Real Madrid
RMA
15%
20%
64%
3433 1802 -1631 -22
28 Sep. 2021
RMA
Real Madrid
1 - 2
Sheriff
SHF
80%
12%
8%
3482 1369 2113 -46
25 Sep. 2021
RMA
Real Madrid
0 - 0
Villarreal
VIL
72%
18%
10%
3487 2652 835 -8
22 Sep. 2021
RMA
Real Madrid
6 - 1
Mallorca
MLL
86%
10%
4%
3485 1760 1725 +3
19 Sep. 2021
VCF
Valencia
1 - 2
Real Madrid
RMA
35%
27%
38%
3477 2688 -789 +8

Matches

Athletic
Athletic
1%
X%
2%
ELO ATH ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Oct. 2021
ATH
Athletic
1 - 0
Alavés
ALA
63%
21%
16%
2542 1913 629 +6
25 Sep. 2021
VCF
Valencia
1 - 1
Athletic
ATH
52%
26%
22%
2539 2669 130 +3
21 Sep. 2021
ATH
Athletic
1 - 2
Rayo Vallecano
RAY
71%
18%
11%
2560 1541 1019 -21
18 Sep. 2021
ATM
Atlético
0 - 0
Athletic
ATH
65%
20%
15%
2553 3259 706 +7
11 Sep. 2021
ATH
Athletic
2 - 0
Mallorca
MLL
65%
20%
15%
2545 1761 784 +7