Champions League . Last 16
Global 4-1
Real Madrid vs Atalanta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.5%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
16.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
RMA
2 - 1
ELC
87%
10%
4%
|
93 | 76 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
ATM
1 - 1
RMA
32%
26%
42%
|
93 | 92 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2021 |
RMA
1 - 1
RSO
67%
19%
15%
|
93 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
ATL
0 - 1
RMA
35%
23%
41%
|
93 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
VAD
0 - 1
RMA
10%
18%
73%
|
93 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2021 |
ATL
3 - 1
SPE
85%
11%
5%
|
89 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2021 |
INT
1 - 0
ATL
55%
22%
24%
|
90 | 91 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
ATL
5 - 1
CRO
86%
10%
4%
|
89 | 68 | 21 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
SAM
0 - 2
ATL
17%
21%
62%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
ATL
0 - 1
RMA
35%
23%
41%
|
89 | 93 | 4 | 0 |