Champions League . Last 16
Global 0-1
Real Madrid vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.4%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
19.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2006 |
RMA
3 - 0
ALA
82%
12%
6%
|
93 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2006 |
RMA
4 - 0
ZAR
74%
17%
10%
|
92 | 88 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2006 |
ATH
0 - 2
RMA
24%
25%
52%
|
92 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2006 |
ZAR
6 - 1
RMA
32%
26%
42%
|
93 | 87 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2006 |
RMA
4 - 0
ESP
74%
16%
10%
|
93 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2006 |
LIV
1 - 0
ARS
29%
28%
43%
|
93 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2006 |
ARS
1 - 1
BOL
71%
18%
11%
|
93 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2006 |
BIR
0 - 2
ARS
16%
25%
59%
|
93 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2006 |
ARS
2 - 3
WHU
79%
14%
7%
|
93 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2006 |
BOL
1 - 0
ARS
25%
28%
48%
|
94 | 87 | 7 | -1 |