Real Jaén vs Tomelloso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.1%
Win probability
2.86
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.4%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.9%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.1%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.8%
6%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 1968 |
AGU
0 - 1
RJA
40%
25%
36%
|
49 | 30 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1968 |
RJA
2 - 0
ORI
80%
13%
7%
|
49 | 33 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1968 |
HER
3 - 2
RJA
79%
14%
7%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1968 |
RJA
1 - 0
REC
48%
26%
26%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 1968 |
XER
0 - 0
RJA
63%
20%
17%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Tomelloso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 1968 |
TOM
0 - 0
CFC
40%
27%
33%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1968 |
ELD
1 - 0
TOM
85%
11%
4%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 1968 |
TOM
1 - 2
BEN
46%
25%
29%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 May. 1968 |
TOM
5 - 0
ATB
63%
21%
16%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1968 |
FEM
3 - 2
TOM
62%
21%
17%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | -1 |