Real Jaén vs SD Ceuta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.4%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.1%
26.5%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
6%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 1949 |
EME
4 - 3
RJA
46%
22%
32%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1949 |
RJA
2 - 1
UDE
66%
17%
18%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 1949 |
ILI
2 - 1
RJA
61%
18%
21%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | -2 |
| 30 Jan. 1949 |
RJA
2 - 1
ALG
65%
17%
18%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 1949 |
REC
3 - 0
RJA
75%
14%
11%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
SD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 1949 |
MEL
2 - 0
SDC
41%
22%
37%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1949 |
SDC
2 - 1
EME
85%
9%
6%
|
49 | 31 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1949 |
UDE
2 - 0
SDC
48%
21%
31%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | -2 |
| 30 Jan. 1949 |
SDC
2 - 1
ILI
81%
11%
8%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 1949 |
ALG
2 - 2
SDC
50%
20%
30%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | -1 |