LaLiga round 14

Real Jaén vs Real Zaragoza analysis

Real Jaén Real Zaragoza
73 ELO 73
2.3% Tilt -3.4%
4936º General ELO ranking 568º
173º Country ELO ranking 35º
ELO win probability
57.2%
Real Jaén
21.6%
Draw
21.2%
Real Zaragoza

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
Real Jaén
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
21.2%
Win probability
Real Zaragoza
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Real Jaén
-28%
-7%
Real Zaragoza

ELO progression

Real Jaén
Real Zaragoza
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Real Jaén
Real Jaén
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Dec. 1957
ATM
Atlético
4 - 1
Real Jaén
RJA
84%
10%
7%
72 85 13 0
08 Dec. 1957
RJA
Real Jaén
4 - 1
Celta
CEL
41%
24%
35%
71 80 9 +1
01 Dec. 1957
ESP
Espanyol
2 - 0
Real Jaén
RJA
68%
18%
14%
71 84 13 0
24 Nov. 1957
RJA
Real Jaén
2 - 1
Real Sporting
SPO
53%
22%
25%
71 74 3 0
17 Nov. 1957
RJA
Real Jaén
0 - 2
Real Valladolid
VAD
48%
23%
29%
72 78 6 -1

Matches

Real Zaragoza
Real Zaragoza
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Dec. 1957
ZAR
Real Zaragoza
1 - 1
Barcelona
FCB
21%
23%
56%
73 90 17 0
08 Dec. 1957
VCF
Valencia
3 - 1
Real Zaragoza
ZAR
75%
15%
10%
74 82 8 -1
01 Dec. 1957
ZAR
Real Zaragoza
3 - 3
Sevilla
SEV
31%
23%
46%
74 86 12 0
17 Nov. 1957
GRA
Granada
1 - 0
Real Zaragoza
ZAR
45%
24%
31%
74 62 12 0
10 Nov. 1957
ZAR
Real Zaragoza
2 - 0
Osasuna
OSA
52%
23%
25%
73 78 5 +1