Real Jaén vs Puertollano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.8%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
11.6%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
28.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
SRQ
2 - 0
RJA
38%
29%
34%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2011 |
ALB
1 - 0
RJA
53%
24%
22%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
RJA
2 - 0
LOR
57%
26%
17%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2011 |
RJA
3 - 0
AGD
37%
29%
34%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +2 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
VIL
0 - 1
RJA
33%
27%
40%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Puertollano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
PUE
2 - 0
POL
43%
28%
29%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
CFB
0 - 0
PUE
46%
26%
28%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
SRQ
0 - 2
PUE
48%
26%
26%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +2 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
PUE
2 - 0
LOR
57%
24%
19%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
PUE
1 - 3
MUR
14%
25%
61%
|
52 | 73 | 21 | 0 |