Real Jaén vs UD Melilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.5%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
16.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
16.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.5%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
19.6%
8.9%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 1993 |
RJA
2 - 1
FIG
34%
27%
39%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1993 |
RJA
4 - 2
SEV
67%
21%
12%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 1993 |
ECI
0 - 0
RJA
39%
31%
31%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1993 |
RJA
0 - 0
GRA
62%
23%
15%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 1992 |
LOG
1 - 1
RJA
77%
15%
7%
|
50 | 75 | 25 | +1 |
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 1993 |
XER
1 - 0
MEL
67%
22%
10%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1993 |
MEL
1 - 0
POL
48%
29%
23%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1992 |
MEL
0 - 1
REC
36%
33%
31%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 1992 |
UDL
3 - 0
MEL
73%
19%
8%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1992 |
SEV
0 - 0
MEL
52%
28%
20%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |