Real Jaén vs UD Melilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.1%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
22.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 1967 |
IMP
0 - 4
RJA
35%
28%
38%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1967 |
RJA
5 - 1
ALM
55%
23%
22%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | +2 |
| 08 Jan. 1967 |
EST
2 - 1
RJA
64%
21%
16%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 1967 |
OLI
1 - 1
RJA
38%
27%
35%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1966 |
RJA
1 - 0
LIN
75%
16%
9%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 1967 |
MEL
5 - 0
ADR
83%
12%
5%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1967 |
MEL
1 - 1
IMP
85%
11%
4%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1967 |
ALM
1 - 1
MEL
55%
23%
22%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1967 |
EST
2 - 1
MEL
41%
25%
35%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 1966 |
MEL
3 - 1
OLI
85%
11%
4%
|
46 | 24 | 22 | 0 |