Tercera Division IX - Andalusia and Melilla Round 11

Real Jaén vs Guadix CF analysis

Real Jaén Guadix CF
43 ELO 22
-12.7% Tilt -25.4%
4930º General ELO ranking 10021º
173º Country ELO ranking 838º
ELO win probability
80.3%
Real Jaén
14.1%
Draw
5.6%
Guadix CF

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.3%
Win probability
Real Jaén
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
+4
9.8%
3-0
13%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
16.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.4%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.8%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14.1%
5.6%
Win probability
Guadix CF
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Real Jaén
-31%
+26%
Guadix CF

ELO progression

Real Jaén
Guadix CF
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Real Jaén
Real Jaén
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Oct. 2017
VEL
Vélez CF
2 - 0
Real Jaén
RJA
19%
26%
55%
45 27 18 0
08 Oct. 2017
RJA
Real Jaén
2 - 0
Linares Deportivo
LIN
51%
26%
23%
44 41 3 +1
01 Oct. 2017
MAL
At. Malagueño
1 - 0
Real Jaén
RJA
56%
23%
21%
45 44 1 -1
24 Sep. 2017
RJA
Real Jaén
1 - 0
Loja
LOJ
67%
21%
13%
45 34 11 0
17 Sep. 2017
RJA
Real Jaén
2 - 0
Juventud Torremolinos
JUV
78%
15%
7%
45 26 19 0

Matches

Guadix CF
Guadix CF
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Oct. 2017
GUA
Guadix CF
0 - 0
Antequera CF
ANT
18%
22%
60%
22 36 14 0
08 Oct. 2017
PAL
El Palo FC
2 - 0
Guadix CF
GUA
82%
12%
6%
22 34 12 0
01 Oct. 2017
GUA
Guadix CF
2 - 1
Melistar
MEL
30%
21%
49%
21 25 4 +1
24 Sep. 2017
MAR
Maracena
2 - 1
Guadix CF
GUA
61%
21%
18%
22 25 3 -1
17 Sep. 2017
GUA
Guadix CF
0 - 2
Atarfe Industrial
ATA
40%
24%
35%
23 25 2 -1