Real Jaén vs Guadix CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.3%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
+4
9.8%
3-0
13%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
16.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.4%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.8%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14.1%
5.6%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2017 |
VEL
2 - 0
RJA
19%
26%
55%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
RJA
2 - 0
LIN
51%
26%
23%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
MAL
1 - 0
RJA
56%
23%
21%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
RJA
1 - 0
LOJ
67%
21%
13%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
RJA
2 - 0
JUV
78%
15%
7%
|
45 | 26 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Guadix CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2017 |
GUA
0 - 0
ANT
18%
22%
60%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
PAL
2 - 0
GUA
82%
12%
6%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
GUA
2 - 1
MEL
30%
21%
49%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
MAR
2 - 1
GUA
61%
21%
18%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
GUA
0 - 2
ATA
40%
24%
35%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | -1 |