Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 3-4
Real Jaén vs Granada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.4%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
23.3%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 1985 |
RJA
1 - 0
AGD
65%
22%
13%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1985 |
LEV
2 - 1
RJA
56%
26%
18%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 1985 |
GRA
3 - 1
RJA
58%
22%
19%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 1985 |
RJA
2 - 1
BET
76%
17%
7%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1985 |
BAL
2 - 1
RJA
64%
22%
15%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Granada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 1985 |
LOR
2 - 2
GRA
36%
33%
31%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1985 |
GRA
1 - 0
MNC
68%
22%
10%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1985 |
GRA
3 - 1
RJA
58%
22%
19%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 1985 |
ALC
1 - 1
GRA
32%
32%
36%
|
59 | 43 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1985 |
GRA
0 - 0
CCF
71%
20%
9%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |