Real Jaén vs Elche analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.4%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
27.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1995 |
UTR
0 - 5
RJA
22%
29%
49%
|
57 | 37 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1995 |
RJA
1 - 1
VEL
72%
18%
9%
|
57 | 38 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1995 |
CCF
2 - 1
RJA
59%
24%
18%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 1995 |
RJA
1 - 1
MMA
63%
23%
14%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1995 |
RJA
2 - 2
VEL
74%
16%
10%
|
58 | 38 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Elche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1995 |
ELC
2 - 0
MAL
32%
30%
39%
|
57 | 75 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1995 |
GRA
1 - 1
ELC
40%
27%
33%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1995 |
ELC
4 - 0
UDS
65%
22%
13%
|
56 | 41 | 15 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 1995 |
LOR
1 - 1
ELC
36%
26%
38%
|
57 | 37 | 20 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 1995 |
HER
0 - 0
ELC
75%
16%
10%
|
56 | 73 | 17 | +1 |