Real Jaén vs UDC Torredonjimeno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.5%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
13.6%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
68
1º
5º
2º
41
8º
15º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
63 | 63 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
38 | 38 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 37 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 21 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
5 | 5 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
HUE
0 - 1
RJA
39%
26%
35%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
RJA
7 - 1
ATL
80%
14%
7%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 1
RJA
21%
25%
54%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
RJA
2 - 0
PAL
64%
20%
16%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
UDT
2 - 1
RJA
43%
26%
31%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
UDC Torredonjimeno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
TOR
1 - 1
HUE
42%
23%
35%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
CHM
0 - 6
TOR
7%
13%
80%
|
27 | 9 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
TOR
2 - 2
ALM
36%
23%
41%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
MAL
4 - 2
TOR
56%
22%
23%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
TOR
3 - 2
ARE
66%
19%
15%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | +1 |