Real Jaén vs CD Málaga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.3%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
35.4%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 1945 |
REC
2 - 3
RJA
59%
20%
22%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1945 |
RJA
3 - 1
BAL
72%
15%
13%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1945 |
RJA
3 - 2
LCF
75%
14%
11%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1945 |
LIN
2 - 0
RJA
45%
23%
32%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 1945 |
MEL
2 - 1
RJA
54%
21%
25%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
CD Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 1945 |
MAL
5 - 2
MEL
81%
12%
8%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1945 |
COR
0 - 3
MAL
34%
24%
42%
|
55 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1945 |
ALG
0 - 1
MAL
32%
23%
45%
|
55 | 37 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1945 |
MAL
7 - 2
CAD
85%
10%
6%
|
55 | 36 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1945 |
LIN
1 - 0
MAL
30%
23%
47%
|
55 | 36 | 19 | 0 |