Real Jaén vs Hércules Gaditano F.C. analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.8%
Win probability
3.22
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.9%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.7%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.9%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.1%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.4%
10.7%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
10.7%
6.4%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 1943 |
BAL
2 - 2
RJA
45%
22%
33%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1943 |
RJA
4 - 3
RCD
70%
16%
15%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 1943 |
REC
4 - 0
RJA
66%
17%
17%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Hércules Gaditano F.C.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 1943 |
GAD
1 - 1
ALG
38%
23%
39%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1943 |
BAL
4 - 0
GAD
78%
13%
9%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | -2 |
| 26 Sep. 1943 |
GAD
0 - 3
COR
66%
18%
17%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | -2 |