Real Jaén vs At. Sanluqueño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.3%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.6%
10.1%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
MUR
2 - 0
RJA
57%
25%
18%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
MAR
2 - 2
RJA
48%
27%
25%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
RJA
2 - 0
CAR
37%
29%
34%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 1
RJA
44%
28%
28%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
RJA
2 - 1
GRA
40%
28%
32%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
At. Sanluqueño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
SAN
0 - 0
MAR
19%
24%
57%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
CAR
2 - 0
SAN
72%
19%
10%
|
41 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
SAN
0 - 1
SAN
26%
26%
48%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2016 |
GRA
2 - 2
SAN
79%
14%
8%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 2
MEL
20%
27%
53%
|
42 | 57 | 15 | 0 |