Real Jaén vs Almería analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.3%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.3%
32.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1997 |
RJA
1 - 1
LOG
28%
28%
44%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1997 |
ALM
2 - 1
RJA
62%
22%
17%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 1997 |
CDB
1 - 1
RJA
60%
25%
14%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 1997 |
RJA
3 - 1
FIG
54%
26%
20%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 1997 |
FIG
0 - 1
RJA
44%
27%
29%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Almería
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1997 |
ICR
1 - 1
ALM
26%
28%
46%
|
63 | 39 | 24 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1997 |
ALM
2 - 1
RJA
62%
22%
17%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1997 |
ALM
2 - 0
POL
73%
18%
9%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 1997 |
ALM
2 - 3
CDO
61%
23%
16%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 1997 |
ALB
1 - 0
ALM
74%
17%
9%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | -1 |