Real Jaén vs CD Alcalá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.3%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
+3
9.3%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
18.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.9%
25%
Draw
0-0
11.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
25%
13.7%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
RJA
0 - 0
MEL
43%
28%
28%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2010 |
CDB
2 - 0
RJA
27%
25%
49%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
CAD
2 - 1
RJA
70%
19%
11%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
RJA
2 - 1
RMC
42%
26%
32%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2010 |
FCB
3 - 0
RJA
50%
24%
26%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
CD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
ALC
0 - 3
CAD
9%
20%
71%
|
44 | 70 | 26 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2010 |
ALC
1 - 3
UES
20%
24%
57%
|
45 | 61 | 16 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
ROQ
4 - 2
ALC
60%
23%
17%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
ROD
1 - 2
ALC
36%
27%
37%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
AYA
1 - 1
ALC
33%
28%
40%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | -1 |