Real Jaén vs CD Alcalá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.4%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.2%
20.5%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
MER
2 - 0
RJA
26%
29%
46%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2007 |
RJA
0 - 2
RAY
30%
26%
44%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
RJA
2 - 2
AGU
47%
28%
25%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2007 |
LOR
2 - 3
RJA
69%
18%
12%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
CAR
2 - 0
RJA
50%
26%
24%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
CD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
ALC
2 - 0
ALG
57%
25%
18%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
ALC
0 - 1
BAZ
33%
28%
40%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
MER
0 - 1
ALC
40%
29%
32%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2007 |
MER
2 - 0
ALC
34%
29%
37%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2007 |
ALC
1 - 2
BAZ
36%
28%
36%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |