Real Jaén vs AgD Ceuta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
7%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
12%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
34.4%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
VIL
0 - 1
RJA
33%
27%
40%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
RJA
1 - 1
CAD
21%
26%
53%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
RJA
0 - 0
CCF
19%
24%
57%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
RJA
1 - 2
GRA
18%
25%
57%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
ROQ
2 - 1
RJA
44%
27%
29%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
AgD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
CAD
0 - 0
AGD
65%
21%
14%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
AGD
2 - 1
SEV
37%
27%
36%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
SRQ
0 - 2
AGD
43%
27%
30%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
AGD
1 - 2
MEL
41%
27%
31%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
AGD
2 - 1
POL
51%
26%
23%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |