Real Jaén B vs Urgavona CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.9%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
17.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-51%
+72%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2003 |
FSV
1 - 1
RJA
51%
23%
26%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2003 |
RJA
1 - 1
ILI
39%
25%
36%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2003 |
ATL
0 - 0
RJA
38%
25%
37%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | +4 |
| 01 Jan. 2003 |
RJA
0 - 0
PJI
66%
19%
15%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | -4 |
| 01 Jan. 2003 |
RJA
0 - 0
LIN
40%
25%
35%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Urgavona CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2003 |
FSV
3 - 0
URG
54%
23%
23%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2003 |
URG
1 - 1
ILI
23%
23%
54%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | +4 |
| 01 Jan. 2003 |
URG
1 - 1
ATL
53%
24%
24%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | -3 |
| 01 Jan. 2003 |
URG
2 - 0
PJI
28%
25%
47%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | +2 |
| 01 Jan. 2003 |
LIN
0 - 0
URG
70%
18%
12%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | -2 |