Real Jaén B vs UD La Guardia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.8%
26.2%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-41%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
VDJ
1 - 2
RJA
48%
22%
30%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
RJA
6 - 0
JIM
76%
14%
10%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
CDA
0 - 3
RJA
28%
22%
51%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
RJA
6 - 0
JOD
67%
18%
16%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
VIL
1 - 1
RJA
57%
20%
23%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
UD La Guardia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
VIL
0 - 4
LAG
32%
23%
45%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
LAG
3 - 5
VDJ
56%
21%
23%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
JIM
0 - 1
LAG
18%
19%
63%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
LAG
1 - 0
CDA
73%
15%
13%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2023 |
LAG
2 - 2
VIL
50%
21%
28%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |