Real Jaén B vs Castillo de Locubin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.7%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.7%
26.6%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-41%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
JOD
2 - 2
RJA
50%
21%
29%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
RJA
0 - 2
VIL
44%
22%
35%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
CPH
1 - 0
RJA
40%
22%
39%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
CDH
1 - 1
RJA
71%
17%
12%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
LAG
3 - 1
RJA
72%
15%
13%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Castillo de Locubin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
CDA
1 - 1
LAG
15%
17%
67%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
VDJ
1 - 0
CDA
44%
22%
35%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
CDA
5 - 0
JIM
31%
22%
47%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2023 |
VIL
2 - 2
CDA
39%
22%
39%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
CDA
1 - 5
CDH
10%
16%
73%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | 0 |