Real Jaén B vs Baeza CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
14.6%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
CHU
0 - 2
RJA
66%
19%
15%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
RJA
4 - 0
ACO
27%
24%
49%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | +2 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
BEN
4 - 0
RJA
68%
18%
14%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
RJA
3 - 0
ATM
42%
24%
34%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
DHE
3 - 1
RJA
85%
10%
5%
|
11 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Baeza CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
BAE
0 - 2
LIN
11%
19%
70%
|
13 | 28 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
ALH
3 - 2
BAE
75%
16%
9%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
BAE
5 - 1
MLK
61%
22%
17%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
CAR
0 - 0
BAE
64%
20%
16%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
BAE
0 - 3
VIL
13%
21%
66%
|
12 | 25 | 13 | 0 |