Real Estelí vs Diriangén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.4%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
24%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24%
16.5%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Estelí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2020 |
EST
1 - 0
DIR
56%
24%
20%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2020 |
WAL
0 - 0
EST
32%
26%
41%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2020 |
EST
2 - 1
JAP
68%
21%
12%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2020 |
JUV
1 - 4
EST
24%
25%
52%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2020 |
EST
2 - 0
REA
67%
21%
13%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Diriangén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2020 |
EST
1 - 0
DIR
56%
24%
20%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2020 |
1 - 1
DIR
32%
29%
38%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2020 |
DIR
0 - 1
WAL
44%
28%
29%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2020 |
JAP
2 - 0
DIR
19%
27%
54%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | -2 |
| 12 Aug. 2020 |
DIR
1 - 0
JUV
62%
23%
16%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | +1 |