Apertura Nicaragua Eliminatorias. Semi-finals

Global 3-2

Real Estelí vs Chinandega analysis

Real Estelí Chinandega
68 ELO 51
-12.4% Tilt 0.2%
1249º General ELO ranking 6037º
Country ELO ranking 18º
ELO win probability
67.6%
Real Estelí
20.9%
Draw
11.6%
Chinandega

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.6%
Win probability
Real Estelí
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.9%
11.6%
Win probability
Chinandega
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Real Estelí
+13%
-10%
Chinandega

ELO progression

Real Estelí
Chinandega
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Real Estelí
Real Estelí
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Dec. 2020
LDA
LD Alajuelense
2 - 1
Real Estelí
EST
63%
20%
16%
68 77 9 0
29 Nov. 2020
CFC
Chinandega
2 - 2
Real Estelí
EST
18%
24%
57%
68 51 17 0
25 Nov. 2020
CSH
CS Herediano
0 - 1
Real Estelí
EST
59%
21%
20%
68 74 6 0
20 Nov. 2020
EST
Real Estelí
1 - 0
Managua
MAN
57%
24%
19%
68 59 9 0
16 Nov. 2020
EST
Real Estelí
1 - 1
64%
23%
13%
68 54 14 0

Matches

Chinandega
Chinandega
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Nov. 2020
CFC
Chinandega
2 - 2
Real Estelí
EST
18%
24%
57%
51 68 17 0
23 Nov. 2020
JAP
ART Jalapa
0 - 2
Chinandega
CFC
53%
25%
22%
50 57 7 +1
20 Nov. 2020
WAL
Walter Ferretti
4 - 0
Chinandega
CFC
66%
21%
13%
51 63 12 -1
15 Nov. 2020
CFC
Chinandega
1 - 1
ART Jalapa
JAP
36%
25%
39%
51 57 6 0
11 Nov. 2020
CFC
Chinandega
0 - 0
Managua
MAN
29%
26%
46%
51 59 8 0
X