Real España vs Honduras Progreso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.9%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
14.6%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real España
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2022 |
OLI
1 - 3
RES
46%
27%
27%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2022 |
RES
4 - 1
RSO
67%
21%
12%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2022 |
MAR
2 - 0
RES
39%
27%
34%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
RES
1 - 2
MOT
43%
27%
30%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2022 |
PLA
2 - 1
RES
20%
25%
55%
|
73 | 53 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Honduras Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
VID
0 - 2
HNP
64%
21%
15%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
HNP
2 - 1
MAR
23%
25%
52%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2022 |
RSO
4 - 2
HNP
42%
24%
35%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
OLI
3 - 0
HNP
66%
21%
13%
|
56 | 74 | 18 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
HNP
1 - 2
JAG
30%
26%
44%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |