Real Cartagena vs Boca Juniors de Cali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.8%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
17.1%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2021 |
UNI
1 - 0
CAR
61%
22%
16%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2021 |
CAR
2 - 0
COR
31%
26%
42%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
REA
2 - 2
CAR
55%
24%
21%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2021 |
CAR
0 - 1
FOR
46%
25%
29%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2021 |
CHI
1 - 0
CAR
58%
25%
18%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Boca Juniors de Cali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
BJC
0 - 2
UNI
19%
27%
54%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2021 |
COR
3 - 1
BJC
61%
23%
16%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
BJC
0 - 0
REA
29%
27%
44%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2021 |
BJC
0 - 1
PER
8%
13%
79%
|
49 | 68 | 19 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2021 |
FOR
3 - 0
BJC
56%
23%
20%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |