Copa del Rey . 1/128
Global 5-3
Real Burgos CF vs Deportivo Aragón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
19.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Burgos CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1988 |
RBU
1 - 1
LLE
41%
29%
30%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1988 |
MLL
2 - 0
RBU
70%
19%
11%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1988 |
ZAR
0 - 1
RBU
49%
24%
28%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1988 |
RAY
2 - 1
RBU
66%
20%
14%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1988 |
RBU
1 - 1
DEP
46%
28%
26%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Aragón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1988 |
ZAR
2 - 2
OSA
75%
17%
9%
|
54 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1988 |
TER
1 - 1
ZAR
36%
29%
35%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1988 |
ZAR
0 - 1
RBU
49%
24%
28%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 May. 1988 |
HOS
1 - 3
ZAR
43%
28%
30%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 May. 1988 |
ZAR
3 - 1
72%
18%
10%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | 0 |