Real Burgos CF vs Numancia B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.6%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
55.7%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Burgos CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
ACF
3 - 0
RBU
75%
15%
10%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
RBU
1 - 1
SEG
11%
20%
69%
|
19 | 43 | 24 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
BUR
3 - 1
RBU
71%
18%
12%
|
19 | 34 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
COL
2 - 1
RBU
64%
18%
18%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
RBU
2 - 1
AVI
16%
22%
61%
|
18 | 33 | 15 | +2 |
Matches
Numancia B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
NUM
2 - 1
SDA
66%
19%
15%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
NUM
2 - 1
ACF
44%
25%
31%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
SEG
4 - 1
NUM
70%
19%
12%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
NUM
0 - 4
BUR
56%
23%
20%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | -2 |
| 17 Feb. 2021 |
NUM
3 - 0
COL
69%
18%
13%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | 0 |