Real Avilés Industrial vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.9%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
23.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Avilés Industrial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 1999 |
DEP
0 - 1
AVI
51%
25%
24%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1999 |
AVI
2 - 0
RCF
42%
28%
31%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | +2 |
| 07 Feb. 1999 |
CAU
2 - 0
AVI
40%
27%
33%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | -2 |
| 31 Jan. 1999 |
AVI
2 - 2
CDM
50%
25%
25%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1999 |
ROB
2 - 2
AVI
53%
25%
22%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 1999 |
LUG
3 - 1
UPL
56%
23%
20%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1999 |
PPJ
1 - 1
LUG
41%
27%
32%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1999 |
LUG
0 - 0
FUE
57%
24%
19%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1999 |
LAL
1 - 2
LUG
32%
29%
40%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 1999 |
LUG
1 - 2
PON
57%
24%
19%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -1 |