Real Aranjuez CF vs AD Torrejón CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.3%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.2%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
62.2%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
10º
16º
16º
35
3º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 70 |
1º
|
93% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 68 |
2º
|
93% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
46% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 46 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
58% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
70% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
69.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
39.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 35 |
11º
|
28% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 34 |
12º
|
42% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
15.5% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 32 |
14º
|
32.5% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 32 |
15º
|
32% | |
|
|
16º
|
16 | 16 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Aranjuez CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
CDM
2 - 1
ARA
74%
16%
10%
|
18 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
ARA
0 - 2
CVI
58%
22%
20%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
CAN
0 - 1
ARA
44%
24%
32%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
ARA
1 - 1
POZ
30%
27%
43%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
GET
4 - 1
ARA
66%
19%
15%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
AD Torrejón CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
TRJ
1 - 1
VAL
49%
25%
25%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
RVB
1 - 2
TRJ
38%
24%
38%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
TRJ
3 - 2
GAL
55%
23%
21%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
LRZ
1 - 1
TRJ
60%
20%
20%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
TRJ
1 - 1
ALC
43%
26%
31%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | +1 |