Real Aranjuez CF vs Mérida CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.3%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.2%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
16%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Aranjuez CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 1959 |
ARA
4 - 1
GIM
53%
22%
25%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1959 |
CDT
2 - 1
ARA
67%
17%
16%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 1959 |
ARA
4 - 2
LEG
82%
12%
7%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1959 |
GUA
3 - 2
ARA
59%
20%
21%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 1959 |
ARA
1 - 1
MAN
49%
23%
28%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Mérida CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 1959 |
PUE
6 - 1
MER
83%
10%
7%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1959 |
MER
4 - 0
MME
69%
17%
14%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 1959 |
VIL
3 - 0
MER
77%
14%
10%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 1959 |
GIM
5 - 1
MER
62%
19%
19%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -2 |
| 29 Nov. 1959 |
MER
3 - 2
CDT
67%
18%
15%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | +1 |