Reading United vs Northern Virginia Royals analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.4%
4-0
8%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.8%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.7%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
13%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13%
6%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reading United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2014 |
BAL
2 - 4
REA
24%
23%
53%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2014 |
REA
2 - 1
JER
41%
24%
35%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2014 |
NEW
2 - 2
REA
12%
19%
70%
|
48 | 20 | 28 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2014 |
REA
1 - 2
LON
72%
17%
11%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 2014 |
REA
1 - 0
OCE
56%
21%
23%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Northern Virginia Royals
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2014 |
NOR
1 - 2
LON
27%
24%
50%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2014 |
NJL
0 - 2
NOR
29%
25%
46%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Jun. 2014 |
OCE
3 - 1
NOR
72%
18%
10%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 2014 |
LON
0 - 0
NOR
72%
17%
11%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | +2 |
| 15 Jun. 2014 |
NEW
1 - 2
NOR
32%
24%
44%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | -1 |