Reading vs Watford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
46%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reading
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
CAR
1 - 2
REA
53%
25%
22%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
REA
2 - 0
BAR
46%
25%
29%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2020 |
REA
0 - 1
LUT
48%
24%
28%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
DER
0 - 2
REA
52%
25%
23%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
REA
3 - 1
COL
60%
21%
19%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Watford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
WAT
1 - 0
LUT
64%
21%
15%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2020 |
NEW
3 - 1
WAT
12%
22%
66%
|
79 | 57 | 22 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
SHW
0 - 0
WAT
24%
27%
49%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2020 |
OXF
1 - 1
WAT
24%
25%
52%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2020 |
WAT
1 - 0
MID
67%
20%
13%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |