Reading vs Port Vale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
21.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reading
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 1998 |
STO
5 - 1
REA
59%
23%
18%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1998 |
CRE
1 - 0
REA
52%
24%
24%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 1998 |
REA
3 - 0
MAC
48%
26%
26%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 1998 |
REA
0 - 1
OPA
58%
24%
19%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 1998 |
SUN
4 - 1
REA
68%
20%
12%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 1998 |
POR
0 - 1
TRA
46%
27%
27%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1998 |
POR
0 - 0
STO
57%
24%
19%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1998 |
BRA
2 - 1
POR
51%
25%
24%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 1998 |
QPR
0 - 1
POR
58%
24%
19%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 1998 |
POR
0 - 1
SWI
56%
24%
20%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |