Reading vs Millwall analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.8%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
33.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reading
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2019 |
QPR
2 - 2
REA
56%
24%
20%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
REA
1 - 0
PNE
28%
26%
47%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
BRI
1 - 0
REA
64%
21%
15%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2019 |
REA
1 - 4
FUL
29%
26%
45%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
SWA
1 - 1
REA
71%
18%
11%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Millwall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
MIL
2 - 0
STO
38%
28%
34%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2019 |
MIL
2 - 2
CAR
30%
27%
43%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
BRE
3 - 2
MIL
53%
24%
23%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
MIL
2 - 1
LEE
24%
26%
50%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2019 |
LUT
1 - 1
MIL
62%
21%
17%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |