Reading vs Cardiff City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.5%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
26.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reading
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
CHA
3 - 2
REA
41%
27%
32%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2015 |
REA
3 - 0
BRA
58%
23%
19%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
WAT
4 - 1
REA
59%
22%
18%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2015 |
REA
2 - 1
BHA
50%
27%
24%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
BRA
0 - 0
REA
36%
26%
39%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Cardiff City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
CAR
2 - 0
BIR
54%
24%
22%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2015 |
CAR
1 - 1
BOU
32%
26%
42%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
BRE
1 - 2
CAR
54%
24%
22%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
CAR
1 - 2
CHA
57%
24%
19%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2015 |
ROT
1 - 3
CAR
44%
26%
30%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | +1 |